Some changes in modeled weather for the next few days warrants an update.
Our cold weather will moderate a bit over the next couple days, but as it does, a clipper system will move down tomorrow evening from Manitoba, giving the Twin Cities a dusting to less than an inch, and perhaps a couple inches from northeastern MN through central Wisconsin. The snow should fall mainly between 6 PM and midnighttomorrow night.
Saturday should be dry with temperatures starting in the teens and getting to the low 20s by later afternoon. Winds will be moderate (10-15 mph) in the AM, with wind chills in the single digits, rising to the teens in the afternoon as winds lighten up.
Sunday we should see temperatures approaching freezing or a couple degrees above, before another clipper passes just to our east Sunday night through Monday, with another brush of light snow. Then much colder Monday night, followed by moderating temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday. We could get up close to freezing again briefly on Wednesday, before another push of cooler air.
The bitter cold implied by earlier model runs is now being mostly shunted off to our northeast by the model. The long range pattern is to keep us in generally northwest flow for the next couple weeks, with a new clipper system every 2-3 days giving us a change of several light snow events. The pattern is looking somewhat similar to the “polar vortex” winter of 4 winters ago, when we never got any really heavy snow storms for much of the winter, but it kept snowing every couple days.